The Miami Heat will win Game 5 and capture the NBA title tonight. There are a couple of reasons why I say this so boldly. First of all, look at the previous games. They took Game 2, which was a must win for them in Oklahoma City. In Game 3 they found themselves down by 10 in the third quarter. As soon as Kevin Durant sat out, they go went a run and finished the quarter with a two-point lead.